Sub-Odeon User
Posts: 234 | RE: TRON: LEGACY - Box Office & Fan Reaction on Tuesday, December, 28, 2010 3:32 PM
Fun with numbers...
Assuming TRON "tops" at this last Monday's $6M dollar domestic mark, and falls at a steady rate of 10% per day, then a 60 day projected take would look like this:
$6,000,000.00
$5,400,000.00
$4,860,000.00
$4,374,000.00
$3,936,600.00
$3,542,940.00
$3,188,646.00
$2,869,781.40
$2,582,803.26
$2,324,522.93
$2,092,070.64
$1,882,863.58
$1,694,577.22
$1,525,119.50
$1,372,607.55
$1,235,346.79
$1,111,812.11
$1,000,630.90
$900,567.81
$810,511.03
$729,459.93
$656,513.93
$590,862.54
$531,776.29
$478,598.66
$430,738.79
$387,664.91
$348,898.42
$314,008.58
$282,607.72
$254,346.95
$228,912.25
$206,021.03
$185,418.93
$166,877.03
$150,189.33
$135,170.40
$121,653.36
$109,488.02
$98,539.22
$88,685.30
$79,816.77
$71,835.09
$64,651.58
$58,186.42
$52,367.78
$47,131.00
$42,417.90
$38,176.11
$34,358.50
$30,922.65
$27,830.39
$25,047.35
$22,542.61
$20,288.35
$18,259.52
$16,433.56
$14,790.21
$13,311.19
$11,980.07
The 60-day total would be $59,892,179.38, for a domestic sum of approx. $147,6000,000 dollars US.
Looking back at comparable movies (Night at the Museum) the descent was not straightforward, in that weekends still tended to be bigger than the weekdays, and even by the end of February NATM was still pulling million-dollar box office on Saturdays, with another 4 months ahead of it in theaters.
So lets adjust things a bit? Bigger weekends, longer run...
$6,000,000.00
$5,018,181.82
$901,090.91
$833,454.55
$812,727.27
$3,381,818.18
$6,654,545.45
$5,000,000.00
$4,181,818.18
$750,909.09
$694,545.45
$677,272.73
$2,818,181.82
$5,545,454.55
$3,000,000.00
$2,509,090.91
$450,545.45
$416,727.27
$406,363.64
$1,690,909.09
$3,327,272.73
$2,000,000.00
$1,672,727.27
$300,363.64
$277,818.18
$270,909.09
$1,127,272.73
$2,218,181.82
$1,500,000.00
$1,254,545.45
$225,272.73
$208,363.64
$203,181.82
$845,454.55
$1,663,636.36
$1,200,000.00
$1,003,636.36
$180,218.18
$166,690.91
$162,545.45
$676,363.64
$1,330,909.09
$750,000.00
$627,272.73
$112,636.36
$104,181.82
$101,590.91
$422,727.27
$831,818.18
$780,000.00
$652,363.64
$117,141.82
$108,349.09
$105,654.55
$439,636.36
$865,090.91
$650,000.00
$543,636.36
$97,618.18
$90,290.91
$88,045.45
$366,363.64
$720,909.09
$475,000.00
$397,272.73
$71,336.36
$65,981.82
$64,340.91
$267,727.27
$526,818.18
$400,000.00
$334,545.45
$60,072.73
$55,563.64
$54,181.82
$225,454.55
$443,636.36
$350,000.00
$292,727.27
$52,563.64
$48,618.18
$47,409.09
$197,272.73
$388,181.82
$300,000.00
$250,909.09
$45,054.55
$41,672.73
$40,636.36
$169,090.91
$332,727.27
$220,000.00
$184,000.00
$33,040.00
$30,560.00
$29,800.00
$124,000.00
$244,000.00
$180,000.00
$150,545.45
$27,032.73
$25,003.64
$24,381.82
$101,454.55
$199,636.36
$150,000.00
$125,454.55
$22,527.27
$20,836.36
$20,318.18
$84,545.45
$166,363.64
$120,000.00
$100,363.64
$18,021.82
$16,669.09
$16,254.55
$67,636.36
$133,090.91
$100,000.00
$83,636.36
$15,018.18
$13,890.91
$13,545.45
$56,363.64
$110,909.09
$90,000.00
$75,272.73
$13,516.36
$12,501.82
$12,190.91
$50,727.27
$99,818.18
$80,000.00
$66,909.09
$12,014.55
$11,112.73
$10,836.36
$45,090.91
$88,727.27
$65,000.00
$54,363.64
$9,761.82
$9,029.09
$8,804.55
$36,636.36
$72,090.91
Now our grand total for approx. 5 months, with weekend swings up and a gradual trend downard, is $92,086,427.27 domestic, for a lifetime domestic of approx $179,000,000 dollars US. If overseas sales come anywhere close to that, say 85%, then the lifetime world total for TRON Legacy could reach $331,000,000 dollars US.
If the overseas take is LARGER than total domestic, as it has been on virtually all American-made action-genre movies in TRON's general league, then the gross world-wide could easily break $350 million -- and this is before we even discuss DVD-Blu Ray sales or merchandising.
If TRON Legacy breaks $350 world-wide, Disney is almost certainly going to green-light a sequel, on top of the animated series.
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