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VRAM
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Posts: 394
T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Thursday, March, 11, 2010 1:21 PM
I'm wondering how much money can TRON Legacy make at the box-office...

With a production budget of some 17 million dollars, the original TRON film wasn't considered a "succesful" movie although it made around 33 million, but Disney execs expected waaaaay beyond that...

It's obvious that movie 'demographics' have radically changed over the last 25 years, so I think it'd be cool if T:L made, in just it's first day, exactly what TRON made in total (which is also a realistic prediction seeing what recent succesful Disney movies made)...

So, my predictions are: (aprox. or around that)

Single Day Gross (Domestic): $ 33,000,000

Opening Weekend (Domestic): $ 77,000,000

Total Lifetime Grosses:
Domestic: $ 200,000,000
Foreign: $ 150,000,000


If T:L's actual production budget is around some $200 million, and taking into account that I'm being fairly optimistic with the total lifetime grosses, I say Disney will see a good ROI in the end, be happy about it and order the next sequel soon...


What are your predictions my fellow programs?


What the Pro sites are saying...

BoxOfficeMojo.com's 2010 Preview: Tron: Legacy
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=2678&p=.htm


Analysis: Tron, a movie perceived to be ahead of its time with its computer-based virtual reality, was considered a box office disappointment in 1982. In the shadow of E.T.: The Extra-Terrestrial, it made $33 million, or the equivalent of over $85 million adjusted for ticket price inflation. A decent amount of people saw it in theaters, but not enough to make it profitable nor match the hype surrounding its release. Tron was one of the first movies to use computer-generated imagery, and it was released before computers had become the ubiquitous household items we know today. Almost three decades later, its long-awaited sequel, Tron: Legacy, is scheduled for release Dec. 17, fueled by fan nostalgia.

Tron: Legacy follows the adventures of Sam Flynn (Garrett Hedlund), the son of Tron's main character Kevin Flynn (Jeff Bridges). Mr. Bridges, who is winning nearly every acting award this winter for playing a former country music star in Crazy Heart, reprises his role in Legacy, providing (along with returning Bruce Boxleitner) some continuity for fans of the original, while new stars Hedlund and Olivia Wilde look to draw the younger crowd unfamiliar with Tron.

The Tron: Legacy marketing campaign was launched before the movie had been green-lighted. A test reel was brought to the San Diego Comic-Con in 2008 and was met with overwhelming approval from those in attendance. Walt Disney Pictures then decided to make the movie, and the same clip, with overhauled CGI, was shown at last year's Comic-Con. Despite this strong early push, it's hard to tell if Tron is a property a substantial number of moviegoers are still interested in. The other '80s revivals being released this year (The A-Team, The Karate Kid, Red Dawn, Clash of the Titans, A Nightmare on Elm Street) face a similar problem. By the time Tron: Legacy gets its release, though, most of these movies will have run their course, and it will be more apparent if '80s fever is on at the box office.

Another potential issue is whether the virtual reality aspect of Tron: Legacy has been played out in the last few decades. Specifically, The Matrix followed a similar structure, as people entered in to a computer-based virtual reality in those movies as well. While the first and second Matrix movies made $171.5 and $281.6 million, respectively, audience interest had waned by the third movie, The Matrix Revolutions, which only banked $139.3 million. However, this is more likely attributed to the perceived decline in quality that took place from The Matrix to Reloaded and then Revolutions.

Tron: Legacy is heavy on C.G.I., was made in 3-D and will be released in mid-December . These three qualities are shared with Avatar, which recently broke all-time box office gross records. It would be tough to imagine Tron: Legacy reaching anywhere near those heights, though, especially with a jam-packed 2010 3-D slate that will likely leave audiences a little jaded to the technology. However, if Disney avoids marketing Tron: Legacy as just another C.G.I.-heavy adventure and instead as a December event movie featuring a classic story and impressive visuals, they could see solid returns.
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You need to check out the COMPLETELY UNOFFICIAL TRON TIMELINE!
Meanwhile in the real world... the controller feeds the shift clock to the VRAM's video port. Each shift clock pulse causes the VRAM to deliver the next datum, in strict address order, from the shift-register to the video port... Next frame-buffer data: Who created users?
 
Histrion
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Posts: 137
Re: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Thursday, March, 11, 2010 2:45 PM
My fear is that, with so many 3D "spectacle" films coming up (Clash of the Titans, for example), by December will shrug it off. I think the BoxOfficeMojo site is right: it's going to take more than just the 3D IMAX stamp to draw people into this film. Also, Disney's going to have to be careful how they portray the narrative of this film, lest it appear like a Matrix knock-off. ("But there are people in the computer, right?")

I think they need to play off the film's pedigree, while emphasizing the personal nature of the story, namely Sam's search for his father.


Is there a law against texting while light-cycling?
 
VRAM
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Posts: 394
Re: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Saturday, March, 13, 2010 9:08 PM
...and your box office prediction (in millions of dollars) will be...

You need to check out the COMPLETELY UNOFFICIAL TRON TIMELINE!
Meanwhile in the real world... the controller feeds the shift clock to the VRAM's video port. Each shift clock pulse causes the VRAM to deliver the next datum, in strict address order, from the shift-register to the video port... Next frame-buffer data: Who created users?
 
CaptainCR
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Posts: 1,468
Re: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Sunday, March, 14, 2010 7:38 PM
I know it may not be possible..but I hope it makes more than Avatar..and hopefully movie goer yahoos won't lable it as another Matrix or a rip-off of Avatar..

"You know you don't look a thing like your pictures?"
 
VRAM
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Posts: 394
Re: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Friday, March, 19, 2010 12:15 AM
Don't get me wrong here but...

There's no way TRON Legacy's 'domestic total' reaches anywhere near $700 million at the box office.

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You need to check out the COMPLETELY UNOFFICIAL TRON TIMELINE!
Meanwhile in the real world... the controller feeds the shift clock to the VRAM's video port. Each shift clock pulse causes the VRAM to deliver the next datum, in strict address order, from the shift-register to the video port... Next frame-buffer data: Who created users?
 
VRAM
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Posts: 394
Box-Office Predictions

on Wednesday, April, 07, 2010 5:02 PM
Rumors are one thing, but the latest news regarding TRON Legacy's sequel 'already in the works' were more of a confirmation, and somehow I feel uneasy about it...

http://www.comingsoon.net/news/movienews.php?id=64880
It's but very, VERY rare that a company would start working (and therefore, paying money) THIS early on a sequel... And 'very rare' stands for things like STAR WARS, THE LORD OF THE RINGS and maybe even HARRY POTTER... So, this is strange... more than strange... Odd... really odd...

How come is Disney allowing this kind of news see the light of day THIS EARLY??? Are they trying to create EVEN MORE expectation for an already 'hyped' film or are they (the new 'powers that be' at Disney) feeling ultra-optimistic about TL's 'performance' at the box-office?


Tell me your 'most optimistic' box office prediction for TL...

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You need to check out the COMPLETELY UNOFFICIAL TRON TIMELINE!
Meanwhile in the real world... the controller feeds the shift clock to the VRAM's video port. Each shift clock pulse causes the VRAM to deliver the next datum, in strict address order, from the shift-register to the video port... Next frame-buffer data: Who created users?
 
Theflynnabides
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Posts: 215
Re: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Wednesday, April, 07, 2010 5:06 PM
VRAM Wrote:Rumors are one thing, but the latest news regarding TRON Legacy's sequel 'already in the works' were more of a confirmation, and somehow I feel uneasy about it...

http://www.tron-sector.com/forums/default.aspx?do=top&id=380319
Beat you to it

____________________________________
"Tron is for NERDS!"

Yea, well, that's just like, your opinion, man...

 
Imbroglio
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Posts: 416
Re: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Wednesday, April, 07, 2010 5:24 PM
Opening day: $15 mill
Weekend: $25 mill

The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader will be #1 for the 2nd week in a row unfortunately.


 
TRON.dll
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Posts: 4,349
Re: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Wednesday, April, 07, 2010 9:09 PM
The recent trailer seems to have done a really good job at appealing to everyone in the 15-30 crowd, particularly those who had never heard of TRON or weren't interested by its concept of going inside a computer world. At my high school, I've had people walk up to me while I'm wearing that hot topic Tron shirt, and they'll say "awesome shirt", "that movie's gonna be epic", or "saw the trailer for that with Alice over the weekend, looks awesome". Most of these people are people I happen to walk past in the halls that I don't even know. It's admittedly pretty creepy at times, mainly because nobody at that school had ever heard of Tron or gave a crap until the new trailer. In fact, the amount of comments I receive about my Tron shirt is nearly equivalent to the number of comments I receive about my Dark Side of the Moon shirt.

Either Legacy is as big as Dark Side of the Moon or I come from a school where people like to comment on other peoples' shirts. That should speak for itself concerning my box office predictions. The trailer was put together so great. It appealed to a VERY wide age range. Pairing it with Alice was just pure genius.


TRON 2.0 (PC) name - TRON.dll
I'll play any mode, but I'm best at LC.



PSN - TRON-dll
XBOX Live/Games for Windows Live - TRONdll
-I have a Wii, DS, and 3DS. PM me to exchange friend codes.
 
Traahn
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Posts: 3,301
Re: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Wednesday, April, 07, 2010 10:37 PM
Opening Day: $875,000,000

Opening Weekend (Domestic): $1.7 Billion

Total Lifetime Grosses:
Domestic: $4.3 Trillion
Foreign: $3.2 Trillion

There's a 99.9% chance I'm right. End of line.


I'm getting out of here right now, and you guys are invited. -----^
 
VRAM
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Posts: 394
RE: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Thursday, December, 09, 2010 7:43 PM
We're just a week from T:L's release date...

Anyone wants to make another prediction?

You need to check out the COMPLETELY UNOFFICIAL TRON TIMELINE!
Meanwhile in the real world... the controller feeds the shift clock to the VRAM's video port. Each shift clock pulse causes the VRAM to deliver the next datum, in strict address order, from the shift-register to the video port... Next frame-buffer data: Who created users?
 
jtr7
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Posts: 71
RE: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Thursday, December, 09, 2010 7:59 PM
Daft Punk will still generate the most excitement, even more than The Dude.

TRON: Legacy will be cemented in minds as an awesome feature-length music video, not a movie, and once again, the story will be overpowered by visuals in the mass consciousness.


I dearly hope to be wrong, but I haven't heard anything positive about TRON from those who never saw the first movie. It's all excitement for Daft Punk and curiosity for The Dude, and a vague inaccurate notion that it's a video game movie. Sigh.



I'll stab at $42 Million Opening Day, but think it'll be lower, since the previews don't tell people enough of what the heck it's about.abortion pills online abortion pill online purchase cytotec abortion


 
Imbroglio
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Posts: 416
RE: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Thursday, December, 09, 2010 8:36 PM
VRAM Wrote:We're just a week from T:L's release date...

Anyone wants to make another prediction?

Nope I stand by my prediction, although it might actually bring in less.abortion pills online abortion pill online purchase cytotec abortion


 
Flynn316
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Posts: 192
RE: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Saturday, December, 11, 2010 5:48 PM
LOL

The Chronicles of Narnia

It made only 8 million yesterday with a budget of 140 million

This town is full of live ones!!















 
XDream
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Posts: 44
RE: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Friday, December, 17, 2010 1:33 PM
TRON: Legacy Makes $3.5 Million at Midnight
http://www.comingsoon.net/news/movienews.php?id=72500

Avatar-who?


 
Sub-Odeon
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Posts: 234
RE: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Friday, December, 17, 2010 1:46 PM
ream Wrote:TRON: Legacy Makes $3.5 Million at Midnight
http://www.comingsoon.net/news/movienews.php?id=72500

Avatar-who?

WOO HOO!

Rock the box office, TRON LEGACY!

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Aurrius
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Posts: 59
RE: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Friday, December, 17, 2010 6:57 PM
Traahn Wrote:Opening Day: $875,000,000

Opening Weekend (Domestic): $1.7 Billion

Total Lifetime Grosses:
Domestic: $4.3 Trillion
Foreign: $3.2 Trillion

There's a 99.9% chance I'm right. End of line.

That's what I'm talking about! haha


 
HooDooMan
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Posts: 585
RE: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Friday, December, 17, 2010 7:16 PM
ream Wrote:TRON: Legacy Makes $3.5 Million at Midnight
http://www.comingsoon.net/news/movienews.php?id=72500
Avatar-who?

Here's another article that states pretty much the same thing but states that the midnight screening box office take is about on par with what Avatar did for it's midnight screenings. I read it to mean gross earnings as opposed to the percentage of IMAX to non-IMAX screenings as stated in the other article above.

http://www.eonline.com/uberblog/b216918_tron_legacy_next_avatar.html


 
KidFlash
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Posts: 55
RE: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Saturday, December, 18, 2010 11:24 AM
Early word is that the weekend is going to be under $50m.

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VRAM
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Posts: 394
RE: T:L Box-Office Predictions

on Sunday, December, 19, 2010 12:30 AM
Nevermind what others have posted elsewhere in these forums about T:L "only" raking in a certain amount of money at the box-office or whatever... Jeeze! How sad it is to be a neophyte... An estimated $18 million for a film's first day is a pretty good number for any true movie biz cognizant!

On the other side, I was being ulta-optimistic with my prediction and it didn't come close to the actual number... The truth is that a TRON movie is on its way to commercial success...

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3017&p=.htm

You need to check out the COMPLETELY UNOFFICIAL TRON TIMELINE!
Meanwhile in the real world... the controller feeds the shift clock to the VRAM's video port. Each shift clock pulse causes the VRAM to deliver the next datum, in strict address order, from the shift-register to the video port... Next frame-buffer data: Who created users?
 
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